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Grouping and gambling: A Gestalt approach to understanding the gambler's fallacy
Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology; 6/1/2003; Roney, Christopher J R; Trick, Lana M; 5074 words
; Abstract The gambler's fallacy was examined in terms of grouping processes. The gambler's fallacy is the tendency to erroneously believe that ... of "Block 2"). As predicted, the gambler's fallacy was evident when the critical trial was grouped ...
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Who is susceptible to conjunction fallacies in category-based induction?
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review; 10/1/2007; Feeney, Aidan; Shafto, Patrick; Dunning, Darren; 4249 words
; ... evidence suggests that the conjunction fallacy observed in people's probabilistic reasoning ... materials likely to produce a conjunction fallacy either by virtue of a shared categorical ... have demonstrated a parallel conjunction fallacy in categorybased induction. The effect ...
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Adam's Fallacy: A Guide to Economic Theology.(Book review)
Journal of Economic Issues; 3/1/2008; Peterson, Janice; 1004 words
; Adam's Fallacy: A Guide to Economic Theology, by Duncan ... through competitive market forces. In Adam's Fallacy: A Guide to Economic Theology, Duncan ... explanations of what he means by both Adam's Fallacy and economic theology. He notes that there ...
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The hot hand fallacy and the gambler's fallacy: Two faces of subjective randomness?
Memory & Cognition; 12/1/2004; Ayton, Peter; Fischer, Ilan; 8103 words
; ... will exhibit positive recency (the hot hand fallacy) and that they will exhibit negative recency (the gambler's fallacy). We propose alternative accounts for these two expectations: (1) The hot hand fallacy arises from the experience of characteristic ...
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The p-value fallacy and how to avoid it
Canadian Journal of Experimental Psychology; 9/1/2003; Dixon, Peter; 7532 words
; ... results of significance testing to describe results is thus flawed. Abelson (1997) described the fallacy of concluding that two sets of results are different because one is significant and the other ... moderately complex designs, especially in the context of analysis of variance. The p-value fallacy can generate ...
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Randomness and inductions from streaks: "Gambler's fallacy" versus "hot hand"
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review; 2/1/2004; Burns, Bruce D; Corpus, Bryan; 4289 words
; ... will be broken (belief in the gambler's fallacy) but, other times, that such a run will ... induction is often known as the gambler s fallacy, a tendency to believe that a streak of ... explanation for belief in the gambler's fallacy was that it is due to the representativeness ...
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Iraq war fallacies: proponents of keeping our soldiers in Iraq repeatedly offer the same rationale for their viewpoint. Here, their most often cited reasons are refuted.
The New American; 1/9/2006; Jasper, William F.; 2390 words
; FALLACY: If the United States pulls its troops out of Iraq now ... witnessing the transformation of Iraq into an ally of Iran. FALLACY: The huge turnout of Iraqi voters in the January and December ... alienate all sides in this tragic corner of the world. FALLACY: But we must support democracy if we hope to ...
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Fallacies and confusions
Musical Times; 10/1/2004; Graubart, Michael; 2550 words
; ... article in the Spring 2004 MT, 'The poietic fallacy', elaborates the idea that the Schoenberg ... listener, calls this belief the 'poietic fallacy'. I should like to propose that Schoenberg ... followers were not victims of the poietic fallacy at all, but that they muddied the waters ...
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fallacy
Skeptic; 1/1/2006; Lambdin, Charles; 819 words
; THE FALLACY OF THE GOLDEN Mean, a.k.a. Fallacy of the Mean, Fallacy of Compromise, or Fallacy of Moderation, is based on the assumption that the middle ground is always more likely to he a correct position than the two positions that are identified ...
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Fallacy.
Skeptic (Altadena, CA); 1/1/2006; Lambdin, Charles; 811 words
; THE FALLACY OF THE GOLDEN Mean, a.k.a. Fallacy of the Mean, Fallacy of Compromise, or Fallacy of Moderation, is based on the assumption that the middle ground is always more likely to be a correct position than the two positions that are identified ...
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