RUU #11: Strong evidence + physics

This clip contains thoughts about physics and predictions from physics as examples of what's meant by 'strong evidence'. Two cases are studied, namely the prediction and subsequent discovery of Neptune and the predicted magnetic moment of the electron. The point is to illustrate how much a single piece of evidence can mean for two different models. the models are a somewhat archetypal, there are a lot of middle-stances possible as well as other possibilities. What I want to study here in basically a how established physics works compared to less accurate stances based solely on similar observations. The first example is taken from E. T. Jaynes book, probability theory - the logic of science. Jaynes was originally a physicist who later developed ideas in the intersection between physics and statistics. (While my contributions to either fields are extremely small, I am in the same boat in that matter.) Pictures are fetched from wikipedia articles.