EVALUATION OF THE IRI'S "NET ASSESSMENT" SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTS: 1997-2001

From: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Date: December 1, 2003| Author: Barnston, A G; Mason, S J; Goddard, L | Copyright information

Overall, the IRI seasonal climate forecasts outperform the atmospheric general circulation models and ENSO-based empirical predictions on which they are based.

Predictions of seasonal climate anomalies have been made in some form for centuries. One of the earliest scientifically based schemes is that of India's Meteorological Department, which has been issuing predictions for the all-India monsoon rainfall since the late nineteenth century using various statistical methods (Blanford 18...

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