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Growth properties of optimal transition perturbations
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ABSTRACT
The development of perturbations that optimally trigger the onset of Euro-Atlantic blocking (BL) and strong zonal flow (SZF) regimes has been investigated. These perturbations will be called optimal transition perturbations. First, a T21 three-level quasigeostrophic model (T21QG) including a forward and adjoint tangent propagator, is used to compute the sensitivity in the initial conditions for onset of BL and SZF regimes. The evolution of an optimal transition perturbation during a sensitive 72-h period is extensively studied. Barotropic and baroclinic mechanisms are distinguished ...
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