The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets

From: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics | Date: August 1, 2006| Author: Good, Darrel L; Irwin, Scott H; Isengildina, Olga | Copyright information

This study investigates the impact of six major USDA reports in hog and cattle markets: Cattle; Cattle on Feed; Cold Storage; Hogs and Pigs; Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook (LDPO); and World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). A TARCH-in-mean model, with dummy variables to measure the impact of USDA reports and other external factors, is used to model close-to-open live/lean hog and live cattle futures returns from January 1985 through December 2004. The analysis revealed ...

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