Low-Order Stochastic Mode Reduction for a Prototype Atmospheric GCM

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences | February 1, 2006| | Copyright

ABSTRACT

This study applies a systematic strategy for stochastic modeling of atmospheric low-frequency variability to a three-layer quasigeostrophic model. This model climate has reasonable approximations of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Pacific-North America (PNA) patterns. The systematic strategy consists first of the identification of slowly evolving climate modes and faster evolving nonclimate modes by use of an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) decomposition in the total energy metric. The low-order stochastic climate model predicts the evolution of these climate modes a ...

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