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An empirical examination of East Asia's pre-crisis pegged exchange rates.(Author abstract)(Report)
From:
ASEAN Economic Bulletin
| Date:
December 1, 2007| Author:
| COPYRIGHT 2007 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies (ISEAS). This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group.Copyright information
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We specify appropriate models for the behaviour of East Asian economies' pre-crisis daily bilateral exchange rates vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar and explore systematic relationships among those exchange rates. Our preliminary analysis indicates that the rupiah, baht, and Hong Kong dollar are stationary against the U.S. dollar. Unlike major currencies, the rupiah, peso, and won do not exhibit volatility clustering vis-a-vis the dollar. We also find evidence of systematic relationships that are consistent with contagion during the 1997 Asian crisis. The distinctive characteristics of East Asia's ...
<0) or lag (k><0, then the first series lags or "Granger causes" the second series, k equals zero indicates instantaneous causality. Bi-directional causality may exist if the statistics are significant for both k>
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