Establishment of a Box-Jenkins Multivariate Time-Series Model to Simulate Ground-Level Peak Daily One-Hour Ozone Concentrations at Ta-Liao in Taiwan.(TECHNICAL PAPER)

From: Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association | Date: September 1, 2007| Author: | Copyright information

ABSTRACT

Box-Jenkins univariate autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and regression with time-series error (RTSE) models were established to simulate historical peak daily 1-hr ozone concentrations at Ta-Liao, Taiwan, 1997-2001. During 1995-2003, the 600 days of Pollution Standard Index (PSI) more than 100 (peak daily 1-hr ozone concentrations detected by greater than 120 ppm) at Tao-Liao showed the highest ozone exceedances among the six monitoring stations in Kaohsiung County. To improve the predictability of extremely high ozone, two different principal ...

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