Electoral victory and statistical defeat? Economics, politics, and the 2004 presidential election. From: Quarterly Journal of Political Science | Date: July 1, 2006| Author: Nordhaus, William | COPYRIGHT 2006 Now Publishers, Inc. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan.  All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group.Copyright information

ABSTRACT

The 2004 election has been interpreted as a resounding victory for conservative values. Was it in fact a mandate? The present analysis examines recent electoral outcomes and the 2004 election with particular reference to economic and political fundamentals. It compares the results of the 2004 election with predictions using voting models. Additionally, it identifies the trends for different socioeconomic groups. It concludes that the Republican incumbent candida...

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