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A discrete-state continuous-time model of financial transactions prices and times: the autoregressive conditional multinomial--autoregressive conditional duration model.
From:
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
| Date:
April 1, 2005| Author:
Engle, Robert F.; Russell, Jeffrey R.
| COPYRIGHT 2005 American Statistical Association. This material is published under license from the publisher through the Gale Group, Farmington Hills, Michigan. All inquiries regarding rights should be directed to the Gale Group.Copyright information
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Financial transaction prices typically lie on a discrete grid of values and arrive at random times. This paper proposes an econometric model with this structure. The distribution of each price change is a multinomial, conditional on past information and the time interval between the transactions. The proposed autoregressive conditional multinomial (ACM) model is not restricted to be Markov or symmetric in response to shocks; however, such restrictions can be imposed. The duration b...
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