Avoiding a currency war: how a new "dual-key" exchange rate system could help the United States, Japan, the eurozone--and China--find a way out.

The International Economy | June 22, 2004| | Copyright

A conflict over exchange rates is brewing. The burden of adjustment the United States needs to close its trade deficit has fallen mostly upon the euro-dollar exchange rate, to the tune of 30 percent versus eighteen months ago. Meanwhile, the yen-dollar exchange rate has moved only 17 percent in the same period, largely because the yuan-dollar rate has not moved at all. The weak and, in part, export-driven recovery in Europe makes the eurozone governments antsy about further rises in the euro against the dollar. And U.S. presidential candidates are formulating legal challenges ...

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